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Red16
421912.2
71385.0
96586.2
Blue54
303513.3
61558.5
406324.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25490204060801654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4219
#19
12.21.6
14.913.3
Auto2.1
Teleop8.1
End2.0
blue by 12.0
24.11.4
20.822.2
Auto8.6
Teleop14.1
End1.4
Second
9658
#26
6.21.6
7.76.1
Auto3.5
Teleop1.8
End0.8
blue by 7.1
3035
#16
13.31.4
14.515.8
Auto5.8
Teleop6.7
End0.8
Third
7138
#38
5.01.0
3.02.1
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End1.2
blue by 3.5
6155
#20
8.50.8
6.27.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed