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Red28
96586.2
857619.5
61558.5
Blue74
367923.3
32419.2
913619.3
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306402040801002874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.2
16.316.1
Auto6.2
Teleop11.8
End1.5
blue by 3.7
23.30.1
20.420.2
Auto7.8
Teleop15.0
End0.5
Second
6155
#20
8.50.2
8.48.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.6
End1.1
blue by 10.8
9136
#10
19.30.2
15.114.9
Auto4.5
Teleop12.8
End2.1
Third
9658
#26
6.20.3
6.25.9
Auto3.5
Teleop1.8
End0.8
blue by 13.0
324
#8
19.20.2
18.518.3
Auto7.4
Teleop10.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned