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Red50
542718.5
857314.9
881910.7
Blue39
43283.5
811411.5
71385.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4880204060805039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#15
18.51.1
14.715.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End2.0
red by 7.0
8114
#28
11.51.7
7.08.7
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End1.4
Second
8573
#12
14.90.7
15.115.8
Auto8.2
Teleop5.1
End1.6
red by 9.9
7138
#38
5.01.7
2.44.1
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End1.2
Third
8819
#25
10.71.1
9.210.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End0.4
red by 7.2
4328
#39
3.51.7
2.54.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed3%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsMissed