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Red68
91816.9
913619.3
62428.2
Blue15
90516.2
76214.8
881910.7
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5719040806815

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#3
28.21.1
27.028.1
Auto10.4
Teleop15.8
End2.0
red by 17.5
8819
#25
10.70.6
10.49.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End0.4
Second
9136
#10
19.31.6
14.916.5
Auto4.5
Teleop12.8
End2.1
red by 13.2
9051
#14
6.20.4
6.66.1
Auto2.5
Teleop3.6
End0.0
Third
9181
#22
6.91.6
4.76.3
Auto2.9
Teleop1.9
End2.1
red by 2.1
7621
#40
4.80.6
4.64.0
Auto0.8
Teleop2.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed