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Red53
26578.9
542718.5
811411.5
Blue30
70889.5
303513.3
94444.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372802060805330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5427
#15
18.52.0
15.817.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End2.0
red by 5.2
3035
#16
13.30.4
13.714.1
Auto5.8
Teleop6.7
End0.8
Second
8114
#28
11.51.4
8.710.0
Auto5.1
Teleop5.0
End1.4
red by 2.0
7088
#30
9.50.4
8.38.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End1.7
Third
2657
#37
8.92.0
8.210.1
Auto3.2
Teleop5.1
End0.7
red by 4.3
9444
#34
4.70.4
4.14.5
Auto3.2
Teleop0.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed