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Red59
95248.6
288123.7
96586.2
Blue46
29698.4
680030.2
71385.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30480204060801005946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.71.2
17.318.5
Auto7.9
Teleop14.8
End1.1
blue by 6.5
30.20.3
29.229.5
Auto14.1
Teleop15.5
End0.6
Second
9524
#35
8.61.2
6.37.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End1.0
red by 0.3
2969
#33
8.40.3
8.08.3
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End0.8
Third
9658
#26
6.21.7
5.97.6
Auto3.5
Teleop1.8
End0.8
red by 1.1
7138
#38
5.00.3
4.14.4
Auto2.3
Teleop1.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed