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Red18
43283.5
93117.6
95776.2
Blue112
637724.6
147733.7
356119.2
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108702040608010012014018112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9311
#27
7.60.0
7.47.4
Auto7.1
Teleop-0.4
End0.9
blue by 26.1
33.72.0
30.432.4
Auto14.1
Teleop16.5
End3.1
Second
9577
#29
6.20.0
6.46.4
Auto0.8
Teleop3.9
End1.5
blue by 18.4
6377
#21
24.62.0
20.922.9
Auto9.6
Teleop14.4
End0.7
Third
4328
#39
3.50.0
4.24.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.9
blue by 15.7
3561
#11
19.22.0
18.220.2
Auto8.4
Teleop8.8
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
2%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed