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Red53
557222.9
761615.2
90516.2
Blue30
86108.0
857314.9
32419.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4345203040506070805330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.2
20.020.3
Auto12.2
Teleop10.4
End0.3
red by 3.7
324
#8
19.20.9
18.317.4
Auto7.4
Teleop10.2
End1.6
Second
7616
#18
15.20.2
13.113.4
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End0.6
red by 0.3
8573
#12
14.90.7
14.513.8
Auto8.2
Teleop5.1
End1.6
Third
9051
#14
6.20.2
6.16.4
Auto2.5
Teleop3.6
End0.0
blue by 1.8
8610
#13
8.00.7
7.56.8
Auto4.8
Teleop2.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed