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Red23
96645.5
93117.6
70889.5
Blue9
91816.9
94444.7
76214.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2520010304050607080239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7088
#30
9.50.1
9.69.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.0
End1.7
red by 2.6
9181
#22
6.90.7
7.66.9
Auto2.9
Teleop1.9
End2.1
Second
9311
#27
7.60.1
7.67.6
Auto7.1
Teleop-0.4
End0.9
red by 2.8
7621
#40
4.80.7
5.54.8
Auto0.8
Teleop2.8
End1.2
Third
9664
#41
5.50.1
4.84.7
Auto1.4
Teleop3.6
End0.5
red by 0.8
9444
#34
4.70.7
5.44.7
Auto3.2
Teleop0.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
3%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed