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Red60
857619.5
557222.9
542718.5
Blue17
905410.3
96586.2
87505.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions692004060801001206017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.2
22.422.6
Auto12.2
Teleop10.4
End0.3
red by 12.6
9054
#31
10.30.7
10.39.5
Auto2.9
Teleop4.9
End2.6
Second
19.50.2
18.218.4
Auto6.2
Teleop11.8
End1.5
red by 13.4
9658
#26
6.20.8
7.06.2
Auto3.5
Teleop1.8
End0.8
Third
5427
#15
18.50.2
16.216.4
Auto5.8
Teleop10.7
End2.0
red by 12.8
8750
#32
5.80.8
6.65.8
Auto0.3
Teleop5.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed