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Red51
300534.1
95333.9
59864.7
Blue31
27894.8
268717.6
637720.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40501020306070805131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.11.6
20.121.7
Auto13.1
Teleop19.1
End1.9
red by 13.7
20.43.0
17.314.3
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End1.1
Second
5986
#38
4.71.6
7.79.3
Auto1.7
Teleop2.2
End0.7
blue by 12.9
2687
#13
17.63.0
18.515.6
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Third
9533
#30
3.96.7
4.010.7
Auto1.8
Teleop1.0
End1.1
blue by 0.9
2789
#36
4.83.0
7.94.9
Auto3.7
Teleop0.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned