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Red39
11649.6
348113.0
271423.4
Blue15
288113.9
908812.9
55037.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4144102030506070803915

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.40.0
16.116.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End1.8
red by 9.5
2881
#27
13.93.0
16.313.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End1.1
Second
3481
#23
13.00.0
11.111.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End2.1
red by 0.2
9088
#19
12.93.0
13.510.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End0.5
Third
1164
#14
9.60.0
10.010.0
Auto1.9
Teleop6.6
End1.1
red by 2.1
5503
#29
7.53.0
10.07.0
Auto0.6
Teleop5.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed