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Red10
27894.8
271423.4
52129.5
Blue73
47349.2
246835.0
95778.7
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274301020506070801073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.41.8
16.915.0
Auto8.1
Teleop13.5
End1.8
blue by 11.6
35.02.3
24.326.6
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End0.8
Second
5212
#34
9.51.8
4.62.8
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End0.6
red by 0.3
4734
#26
9.22.3
6.68.9
Auto4.5
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Third
2789
#36
4.81.8
4.93.1
Auto3.7
Teleop0.3
End0.9
blue by 3.8
9577
#20
8.72.3
6.28.6
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed