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Red33
885815.5
284816.5
908812.9
Blue55
58669.6
268912.1
808819.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41381020305060703355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.51.0
14.713.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End0.5
blue by 3.4
19.91.7
16.318.0
Auto5.6
Teleop14.3
End-0.0
Second
15.51.0
13.812.8
Auto6.2
Teleop7.8
End1.6
red by 3.4
2689
#10
12.11.7
10.912.6
Auto5.3
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Third
9088
#19
12.91.0
8.47.4
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End0.5
red by 3.3
5866
#21
9.61.7
7.39.0
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed