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Red68
246835.0
680025.7
52129.5
Blue47
29505.5
96559.8
348113.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6221040801006847

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.01.3
26.627.9
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End0.8
red by 22.0
3481
#23
13.02.0
7.89.8
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End2.1
Second
25.71.3
22.123.4
Auto10.1
Teleop14.2
End1.4
red by 15.9
9655
#31
9.82.0
9.511.5
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End0.7
Third
5212
#34
9.51.3
2.84.0
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End0.6
red by 3.9
2950
#33
5.52.0
6.68.7
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsEarned11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed