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Red44
11649.6
95778.7
268717.6
Blue9
174513.0
284816.5
61802.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3836010203050607080449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2687
#13
17.60.5
15.014.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End0.8
red by 1.1
16.52.6
13.711.1
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End0.5
Second
1164
#14
9.60.5
10.49.8
Auto1.9
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 3.5
1745
#25
13.02.6
15.112.5
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.8
Third
9577
#20
8.70.5
8.68.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.6
red by 6.2
6180
#37
2.52.6
3.61.0
Auto1.6
Teleop0.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed