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Red40
876911.0
808819.9
284816.5
Blue73
348113.0
246835.0
71258.4
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41511020306070804073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.90.1
18.018.2
Auto5.6
Teleop14.3
End-0.0
blue by 15.2
35.03.1
27.931.0
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End0.8
Second
16.50.1
11.111.3
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End0.5
red by 3.5
3481
#23
13.03.1
9.812.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End2.1
Third
8769
#11
11.00.1
9.59.7
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
red by 2.7
7125
#28
8.43.1
7.610.7
Auto2.8
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed