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Red20
908812.9
47349.2
27894.8
Blue25
88749.3
55037.5
852810.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18280104050602025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9088
#19
12.90.3
6.66.9
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End0.5
red by 2.1
8528
#17
10.80.1
8.98.9
Auto6.3
Teleop3.2
End1.2
Second
4734
#26
9.20.3
8.08.3
Auto4.5
Teleop4.1
End0.6
blue by 0.1
8874
#12
9.30.1
8.98.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End1.7
Third
2789
#36
4.80.3
2.83.1
Auto3.7
Teleop0.3
End0.9
blue by 2.7
5503
#29
7.50.1
6.66.7
Auto0.6
Teleop5.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed