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Red40
215812.7
885815.5
268912.1
Blue16
52129.5
95333.9
37437.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions441901030405060704016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.50.5
12.111.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.8
End1.6
red by 6.1
5212
#34
9.50.4
4.03.6
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End0.6
Second
2158
#16
12.70.5
11.811.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.5
End0.5
red by 5.0
3743
#22
7.60.4
8.88.4
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Third
2689
#10
12.10.5
13.312.8
Auto5.3
Teleop5.8
End1.1
red by 8.2
9533
#30
3.90.4
7.06.6
Auto1.8
Teleop1.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed