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Red38
56135.0
29505.5
637720.4
Blue30
38029.9
58669.6
88427.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362501020304050603830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.40.8
16.016.8
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End1.1
red by 10.5
3802
#18
9.90.6
8.18.7
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End2.5
Second
2950
#33
5.50.8
8.79.4
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End0.4
blue by 4.1
5866
#21
9.60.6
8.38.9
Auto2.7
Teleop6.2
End0.7
Third
5613
#32
5.00.8
6.47.2
Auto1.6
Teleop2.6
End0.8
blue by 2.2
8842
#15
7.10.6
7.98.5
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed