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Red50
93117.3
852810.8
331026.9
Blue81
300534.1
876911.0
637720.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397002060801005081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.91.1
24.325.4
Auto11.9
Teleop11.1
End3.9
blue by 7.2
34.10.7
30.230.9
Auto13.1
Teleop19.1
End1.9
Second
8528
#17
10.81.1
9.110.2
Auto6.3
Teleop3.2
End1.2
blue by 9.6
20.40.7
17.718.4
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End1.1
Third
9311
#35
7.31.2
5.36.5
Auto5.6
Teleop0.7
End0.9
blue by 3.7
8769
#11
11.00.7
11.512.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed