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Red36
38029.9
55037.5
348113.0
Blue30
268717.6
69745.9
52129.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3338102050607080903630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#23
13.00.0
13.513.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End2.1
blue by 4.6
2687
#13
17.60.4
16.916.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.8
End0.8
Second
3802
#18
9.90.0
9.79.8
Auto3.7
Teleop3.7
End2.5
red by 0.4
5212
#34
9.50.4
9.38.9
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End0.6
Third
5503
#29
7.50.0
7.47.4
Auto0.6
Teleop5.1
End1.9
red by 1.5
6974
#39
5.90.4
7.87.4
Auto1.7
Teleop2.9
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed