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Red18
908812.9
84086.8
56135.0
Blue61
284816.5
288113.9
680025.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2362040801001861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9088
#19
12.90.7
12.311.7
Auto3.4
Teleop9.0
End0.5
blue by 12.8
25.70.4
25.225.6
Auto10.1
Teleop14.2
End1.4
Second
8408
#24
6.80.7
8.37.6
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End0.5
blue by 9.7
16.50.4
13.013.4
Auto5.7
Teleop10.4
End0.5
Third
5613
#32
5.00.7
5.24.5
Auto1.6
Teleop2.6
End0.8
blue by 9.0
2881
#27
13.90.4
13.413.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed