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Red74
174513.0
59864.7
885815.5
Blue30
808819.9
27894.8
93117.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions353530405060707430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.50.2
13.413.6
Auto6.2
Teleop7.8
End1.6
blue by 4.3
19.90.1
21.121.0
Auto5.6
Teleop14.3
End-0.0
Second
1745
#25
13.00.2
12.512.7
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.8
red by 5.7
9311
#35
7.30.1
6.56.4
Auto5.6
Teleop0.7
End0.9
Third
5986
#38
4.70.2
5.86.0
Auto1.7
Teleop2.2
End0.7
blue by 0.1
2789
#36
4.80.1
3.83.7
Auto3.7
Teleop0.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed