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Red21
55037.5
96559.8
52129.5
Blue39
88749.3
37437.6
11649.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302710204050602139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9655
#31
9.80.5
10.39.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.5
End0.7
red by 0.2
1164
#14
9.60.3
9.39.6
Auto1.9
Teleop6.6
End1.1
Second
5212
#34
9.50.4
8.88.4
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End0.6
red by 0.2
8874
#12
9.30.3
8.38.6
Auto3.1
Teleop4.4
End1.7
Third
5503
#29
7.50.4
7.97.5
Auto0.6
Teleop5.1
End1.9
blue by 0.2
3743
#22
7.60.3
7.37.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed