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Red71
61802.5
637720.4
246835.0
Blue60
331026.9
47349.2
174513.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585230407080907160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.01.4
32.433.8
Auto12.5
Teleop21.7
End0.8
red by 8.1
26.90.6
26.426.9
Auto11.9
Teleop11.1
End3.9
Second
20.41.4
18.319.7
Auto8.6
Teleop10.7
End1.1
red by 7.4
1745
#25
13.00.5
12.813.4
Auto3.2
Teleop9.0
End0.8
Third
6180
#37
2.51.4
1.12.5
Auto1.6
Teleop0.0
End0.9
blue by 6.7
4734
#26
9.20.5
8.69.2
Auto4.5
Teleop4.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed