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Red23
852810.8
348113.0
95778.7
Blue20
95333.9
808819.9
29505.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403501020305060702320

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#23
13.00.9
13.913.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End2.1
blue by 6.9
19.90.9
20.819.9
Auto5.6
Teleop14.3
End-0.0
Second
8528
#17
10.80.9
11.710.8
Auto6.3
Teleop3.2
End1.2
red by 5.2
2950
#33
5.50.9
6.45.5
Auto1.4
Teleop3.7
End0.4
Third
9577
#20
8.70.9
9.68.7
Auto2.7
Teleop4.3
End1.6
red by 4.8
9533
#30
3.90.9
4.83.9
Auto1.8
Teleop1.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed