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Red36
593311.2
141022.2
64008.2
Blue30
156911.0
494413.4
79066.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47330204060801003630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.5
19.619.1
Auto9.3
Teleop10.7
End2.2
red by 8.8
4944
#25
13.40.2
11.411.2
Auto6.7
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Second
5933
#16
11.20.5
9.58.9
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End0.7
red by 0.2
1569
#41
11.00.2
12.111.9
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End2.1
Third
6400
#29
8.20.5
11.811.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End1.3
red by 1.3
7906
#35
6.90.2
8.38.1
Auto1.1
Teleop3.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed