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Red48
585117.5
224025.3
88852.6
Blue38
76348.4
43485.8
350118.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4334102030405060704838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.31.1
18.319.4
Auto8.7
Teleop14.2
End2.4
red by 6.8
18.50.1
13.313.4
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End0.7
Second
5851
#17
17.51.1
12.213.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End1.7
red by 9.1
7634
#24
8.40.1
9.910.0
Auto4.7
Teleop1.1
End2.6
Third
8885
#37
2.61.1
7.68.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop1.2
End1.4
blue by 3.2
4348
#27
5.80.1
8.88.9
Auto1.2
Teleop4.6
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed