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Red45
340511.2
50718.6
300620.3
Blue38
406826.7
80877.9
418313.6
27%Model gave it73%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2939010205060704538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.31.9
11.513.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End2.0
blue by 6.4
26.70.4
16.917.3
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End2.1
Second
3405
#23
11.21.9
9.711.6
Auto5.7
Teleop5.3
End0.2
blue by 2.4
4183
#40
13.60.4
9.59.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End0.6
Third
5071
#39
8.61.9
6.38.3
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End1.1
red by 0.7
8087
#22
7.90.4
7.98.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed