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Red38
133920.5
64008.2
903713.2
Blue22
33746.8
81745.4
32433.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions463301020405060703822

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.2
17.317.1
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End0.9
red by 13.7
3374
#44
6.81.0
15.014.0
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.1
Second
9037
#21
13.20.2
11.411.2
Auto6.3
Teleop6.6
End0.3
red by 7.8
8174
#38
5.41.0
8.67.5
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End0.6
Third
6400
#29
8.20.2
11.311.0
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End1.3
red by 5.0
3243
#43
3.21.0
7.76.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop0.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed