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Red55
32887.0
141022.2
585117.5
Blue46
300914.3
324523.7
189111.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4535010203040506070805546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.20.9
19.120.0
Auto9.3
Teleop10.7
End2.2
blue by 1.6
3245
#12
23.70.4
9.19.5
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End0.9
Second
5851
#17
17.50.9
13.314.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End1.7
red by 3.2
3009
#11
14.30.4
10.010.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.6
End3.3
Third
3288
#28
7.00.9
7.28.2
Auto6.1
Teleop0.6
End0.4
blue by 4.3
1891
#33
11.40.4
13.513.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed