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Red51
79066.9
418313.6
133920.5
Blue27
300620.3
90445.1
45854.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393101020506070805127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.2
17.117.3
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End0.9
red by 0.2
20.30.2
13.413.2
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Second
4183
#40
13.60.2
9.910.1
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End0.6
red by 8.5
9044
#36
5.10.2
6.96.7
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End1.0
Third
7906
#35
6.90.2
7.07.2
Auto1.1
Teleop3.7
End2.0
red by 2.2
4585
#46
4.70.2
8.58.3
Auto1.2
Teleop3.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsMissed