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Red58
212224.6
50718.6
300914.3
Blue45
161913.6
156911.0
656023.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3658020805845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.61.8
16.918.7
Auto6.6
Teleop16.8
End1.2
red by 1.5
23.11.1
19.518.4
Auto8.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
Second
3009
#11
14.31.8
10.412.2
Auto5.4
Teleop5.6
End3.3
red by 0.6
1619
#14
13.61.1
18.817.6
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.4
Third
5071
#39
8.61.8
8.310.1
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End1.1
blue by 2.5
1569
#41
11.01.1
11.810.7
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed