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Red64
459816.6
742629.5
406826.7
Blue32
883913.8
903713.2
789511.9
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593002040801006432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.51.6
19.320.9
Auto10.5
Teleop15.6
End3.4
red by 15.7
8839
#26
13.80.1
6.87.0
Auto2.8
Teleop9.2
End1.8
Second
26.71.6
17.318.9
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End2.1
red by 13.5
9037
#21
13.20.1
11.211.3
Auto6.3
Teleop6.6
End0.3
Third
4598
#10
16.61.6
13.014.6
Auto7.2
Teleop7.6
End1.7
red by 4.6
7895
#15
11.90.1
12.913.0
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed