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Red31
141022.2
248611.3
43485.8
Blue23
585117.5
320012.9
81745.4
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51290204060801003123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.21.4
20.018.7
Auto9.3
Teleop10.7
End2.2
red by 4.7
5851
#17
17.51.2
14.213.0
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End1.7
Second
2486
#18
11.31.4
13.412.0
Auto5.3
Teleop5.6
End0.3
blue by 1.6
3200
#32
12.91.2
6.75.6
Auto6.1
Teleop5.9
End0.9
Third
4348
#27
5.81.4
9.88.4
Auto1.2
Teleop4.6
End0.0
red by 0.4
8174
#38
5.41.2
7.56.4
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed