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Red41
133920.5
76348.4
182812.7
Blue76
494413.4
350118.5
300914.3
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40425060704176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.5
17.317.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End0.9
red by 2.0
18.50.4
13.413.8
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End0.7
Second
1828
#30
12.70.5
9.29.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End0.6
blue by 1.5
3009
#11
14.30.4
12.212.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.6
End3.3
Third
7634
#24
8.40.5
10.010.5
Auto4.7
Teleop1.1
End2.6
blue by 5.0
4944
#25
13.40.4
12.112.4
Auto6.7
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsEarned