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Red33
32433.2
300620.3
32887.0
Blue37
656023.1
593311.2
50718.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28450102040506070803337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.30.1
13.213.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End2.0
blue by 2.8
23.10.2
18.418.2
Auto8.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
Second
3288
#28
7.00.1
8.68.7
Auto6.1
Teleop0.6
End0.4
blue by 4.2
5933
#16
11.20.2
9.99.8
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Third
3243
#43
3.20.1
5.15.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop0.8
End2.7
blue by 5.4
5071
#39
8.60.2
10.19.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed