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Red34
43485.8
340511.2
189111.4
Blue38
79066.9
248611.3
25948.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432701020506070803438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1891
#33
11.40.3
14.314.0
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End0.7
red by 0.1
2486
#18
11.30.2
12.012.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.6
End0.3
Second
3405
#23
11.20.3
14.313.9
Auto5.7
Teleop5.3
End0.2
red by 3.2
2594
#13
8.00.2
6.76.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End0.2
Third
4348
#27
5.80.3
8.48.1
Auto1.2
Teleop4.6
End0.0
blue by 1.1
7906
#35
6.90.2
7.27.5
Auto1.1
Teleop3.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsEarned