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Red68
141022.2
324523.7
789511.9
Blue44
224025.3
903713.2
80877.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50412060806844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#12
23.70.1
12.112.1
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End0.9
blue by 1.5
25.30.6
19.920.5
Auto8.7
Teleop14.2
End2.4
Second
22.20.1
18.718.6
Auto9.3
Teleop10.7
End2.2
red by 8.9
9037
#21
13.20.6
11.312.0
Auto6.3
Teleop6.6
End0.3
Third
7895
#15
11.90.1
13.012.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End2.0
red by 4.1
8087
#22
7.90.6
7.07.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed