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Red76
64008.2
212224.6
743618.1
Blue27
45854.7
81745.4
742629.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42391020305060707627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.62.0
18.720.8
Auto6.6
Teleop16.8
End1.2
blue by 4.9
29.51.0
20.919.9
Auto10.5
Teleop15.6
End3.4
Second
7436
#19
18.12.0
9.711.7
Auto6.1
Teleop9.8
End2.3
red by 12.6
8174
#38
5.41.0
6.45.4
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End0.6
Third
6400
#29
8.22.0
9.511.5
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End1.3
red by 3.5
4585
#46
4.71.0
8.37.4
Auto1.2
Teleop3.8
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed