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Red20
50718.6
189111.4
418313.6
Blue42
88852.6
133920.5
156911.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37491020306070802042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4183
#40
13.61.7
11.910.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End0.6
blue by 6.9
20.50.7
19.318.6
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End0.9
Second
1891
#33
11.41.7
12.911.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End0.7
red by 0.3
1569
#41
11.00.7
12.812.1
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End2.1
Third
5071
#39
8.61.7
10.28.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End1.1
red by 6.0
8885
#37
2.60.7
10.910.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop1.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed