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Qual 42024 Utah Regional
Red58
324523.7
33746.8
45854.7
Blue67
248611.3
656023.1
406826.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36530102030406070805867

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#12
23.70.4
10.1→10.5
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End0.9
blue by 3.0
4068
#1
26.70.1
14.5→14.6
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End2.1
Second
3374
#44
6.80.4
15.4→15.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.1
blue by 16.3
6560
#8
23.10.1
16.8→17.0
Auto8.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
Third
4585
#46
4.70.4
9.0→9.4
Auto1.2
Teleop3.8
End-0.3
blue by 6.6
2486
#18
11.30.1
14.4→14.6
Auto5.3
Teleop5.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned