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Red21
91388.3
182812.7
340511.2
Blue85
742629.5
141022.2
224025.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305201020406070802185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1828
#30
12.71.2
10.69.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End0.6
blue by 16.7
29.54.5
14.218.6
Auto10.5
Teleop15.6
End3.4
Second
3405
#23
11.21.2
8.67.4
Auto5.7
Teleop5.3
End0.2
blue by 14.1
25.34.5
15.520.0
Auto8.7
Teleop14.2
End2.4
Third
9138
#20
8.31.2
11.09.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.7
End0.9
blue by 13.9
22.24.5
15.219.6
Auto9.3
Teleop10.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsEarned