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Red53
743618.1
324523.7
32887.0
Blue64
300620.3
212224.6
182812.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365720801005364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3245
#12
23.72.0
12.614.5
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End0.9
blue by 0.9
24.61.7
23.425.0
Auto6.6
Teleop16.8
End1.2
Second
7436
#19
18.12.0
15.317.3
Auto6.1
Teleop9.8
End2.3
blue by 2.3
20.31.7
14.716.4
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Third
3288
#28
7.02.0
7.49.3
Auto6.1
Teleop0.6
End0.4
blue by 5.7
1828
#30
12.71.7
10.912.6
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed