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Red46
25948.0
133920.5
90445.1
Blue17
33746.8
903713.2
31667.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32300501001502004617

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.8
19.220.0
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End0.9
red by 7.3
9037
#21
13.21.2
12.511.3
Auto6.3
Teleop6.6
End0.3
Second
2594
#13
8.00.8
4.75.5
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End0.2
red by 0.1
3166
#31
7.81.2
6.04.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Third
9044
#36
5.10.8
5.25.9
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End1.0
blue by 1.7
3374
#44
6.81.2
9.18.0
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed