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Red25
88852.6
300914.3
79066.9
Blue33
64115.3
593311.2
161913.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2233010304050602533

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#11
14.30.4
10.010.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.6
End3.3
red by 0.6
1619
#14
13.60.5
16.617.1
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.4
Second
7906
#35
6.90.4
6.36.7
Auto1.1
Teleop3.7
End2.0
blue by 4.4
5933
#16
11.20.5
8.59.0
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Third
8885
#37
2.60.4
5.05.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop1.2
End1.4
blue by 2.7
6411
#42
5.30.5
3.74.1
Auto2.1
Teleop1.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed