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Red49
340511.2
80877.9
350118.5
Blue33
189111.4
81745.4
883913.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362801020405060704933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.2
12.412.1
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End0.7
red by 4.7
8839
#26
13.80.8
7.28.0
Auto2.8
Teleop9.2
End1.8
Second
3405
#23
11.20.2
12.612.3
Auto5.7
Teleop5.3
End0.2
blue by 0.2
1891
#33
11.40.8
12.913.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Third
8087
#22
7.90.2
6.36.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End0.8
red by 2.4
8174
#38
5.40.8
5.96.7
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed