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Red17
789511.9
33746.8
248611.3
Blue37
88852.6
76348.4
141022.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37372025303540451737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7895
#15
11.91.6
14.412.8
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End2.0
blue by 10.2
22.20.3
19.219.5
Auto9.3
Teleop10.7
End2.2
Second
2486
#18
11.31.6
12.310.7
Auto5.3
Teleop5.6
End0.3
red by 2.9
7634
#24
8.40.3
10.010.3
Auto4.7
Teleop1.1
End2.6
Third
3374
#44
6.81.6
6.95.3
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.1
red by 4.3
8885
#37
2.60.3
4.44.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop1.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed