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Red35
94233.7
50718.6
133920.5
Blue51
224025.3
1597.6
883913.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3545010203040506070803551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.3
21.120.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End0.9
blue by 4.8
25.30.4
24.124.5
Auto8.7
Teleop14.2
End2.4
Second
5071
#39
8.60.3
6.36.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End1.1
blue by 5.2
8839
#26
13.80.5
8.08.5
Auto2.8
Teleop9.2
End1.8
Third
9423
#45
3.70.3
5.65.3
Auto2.5
Teleop1.0
End0.3
blue by 3.9
159
#34
7.60.5
7.47.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed